Question 1

How much would I have if I DCA'd $100/week into ARI for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100 per week into ARI for 5 years (261 purchases) would have resulted in a total investment of $26,100 and a current value of $15,690, a return of -40%. Using Enhanced DCA, which concentrates buys during dips, the same $100/week base deployed $47,623 and grew to $30,835 — a -35% return.

Question 2

What is the best DCA strategy for ARI?

Accepted Answer

Backtesting shows Enhanced DCA — which increases buy amounts during market dips and reduces or skips buys when ARI is overextended — outperformed standard weekly DCA by 5% over 5 years. The enhanced strategy achieved a -35% return vs -40% for standard DCA.

Question 3

What would $100/week into ARI be worth after 3 years?

Accepted Answer

Investing $100 per week into ARI for 3 years (157 purchases, $15,700 total) would have grown to $10,091 — a -36% return. Enhanced DCA over the same period returned -28%.

Question 4

Is DCA into ARI worth it?

Accepted Answer

Based on a 5-year backtest, DCA into ARI returned -40% with standard weekly purchases. An intelligent DCA strategy that buys more during dips returned -35% over the same period — a 5% gain in return, while deploying more capital.

Question 5

How many shares of ARI would I have after DCA for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100/week into ARI for 5 years would result in approximately 2514 shares with a standard DCA approach (avg entry $10). Enhanced DCA targeting dips results in 4942 shares at an average entry of $10.

Question 6

How does ARI DCA compare to the S&P 500?

Accepted Answer

Enhanced DCA into ARI returned -35% over the past 5 years. The S&P 500 (SPY) returned approximately 53% over the same period. ARI's performance reflects its volatility as a real estate asset. Enhanced DCA outperformed standard DCA by 5%, demonstrating the value of intelligent entry timing during market dips.

Question 7

What is the risk of dollar cost averaging into ARI?

Accepted Answer

Past backtest performance does not guarantee future results. ARI is a real estate asset whose price can fall as well as rise. While DCA reduces timing risk by spreading purchases over time, losses are still possible if the price declines significantly. Always invest within your risk tolerance and consider your overall portfolio diversification.

Question 8

What is the Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. dollar cost averaging strategy?

Accepted Answer

Standard DCA invests a fixed amount ($100/week or $433/month) into ARI at regular intervals. Enhanced DCA improves on this by using RSI (Relative Strength Index) signals to increase buy amounts during market dips (oversold conditions) and reduce or skip purchases when the stock is overextended. Over the 5-year backtest, this timing approach has delivered 5% higher returns than standard DCA while deploying more total capital into ARI.

Period	Standard DCA	Enhanced DCA	Alpha
1-Year	-32%	-19%	+14%
3-Year	-36%	-28%	+7%
5-Year	-40%	-35%	+5%

ARI DCA Backtest — Dollar Cost Averaging Results

ARI DCA Results: Key Findings

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Dollar cost averaging into ARI — backtest results

Buying the dips for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.