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JD
James D.
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Assets›Asset Details
C

CAT DCA Backtest — Dollar Cost Averaging Results

Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
Opportunity
DCA Score
85
Updated Oct 11, 2026

CAT DCA Results: Key Findings

Investing $100 per week into Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) using Enhanced DCA over the past 5 years resulted in a total investment of $24,517, growing to a current value of $83,740 — a return of 242%.

Standard dollar cost averaging over the same period returned 164%, making Enhanced DCA +78% more effective with a lower average entry price of $234 versus standard DCA's $304.

CAT DCA backtest results: standard vs enhanced
PeriodStandard DCAEnhanced DCAAlpha
1-Year10%-1%-11%
3-Year94%138%+44%
5-Year164%242%+78%
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Alpha you missed while unsubscribed

Our Pro members bought these signals. Here's what the returns look like — and what was left on the table.

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Major Weekly Buy Signal
Signal issued Apr 21, 2025 when our algorithm told users to buy ↗ $600
+178.3%
return to date
Current value of $600 position
$1,670
You weren't subscribed
Major Monthly Buy Signal
Signal issued Sep 1, 2026 when our algorithm told users to buy ↗ $2,468
+2.8%
return to date
Current value of $2,468 position
$2,536
Live Signal & Allocation %
Weekly Buy
As of Oct 9, 2026 close
186%
Next signal on or after Oct 12, 2026
Monthly Buy
As of Oct 9, 2026 close
186%
Next signal on or after Nov 2, 2026
Signals like these fire across 1,958 assets
Caterpillar Inc. DCA Calculator
Weekly and Monthly DCA Calculator
Frequency
Amount
$100
/week
1 Year
Standard
Invested
$0
Value
$0
Return
10.2%
Enhanced
Invested
$0
Value
$0
Return
-1.1%
5 targeted purchases · avg entry $809
3 Years
+44.5% alpha
Standard
Invested
$0
Value
$0
Return
93.5%
Enhanced
Invested
$0
Value
$0
Return
138.0%
39 targeted purchases · avg entry $336
5 Years
+78.0% alpha
Standard
Invested
$0
Value
$0
Return
163.5%
Enhanced
Invested
$0
Value
$0
Return
241.6%
80 targeted purchases · avg entry $234
Alpha Advantage · 5Y Enhanced DCA
+78.0%
Enhanced DCA deployed less capital and achieved higher returns — with a lower average entry price than standard DCA
Avg entry$234 vs $304
5Y return241.6% vs 163.5%
Ending value ahead+$14,962
Backtest analysis

Dollar cost averaging into CAT — backtest results

Investing $100/week into CAT (Caterpillar Inc.) using standard dollar cost averaging over the past 5 years would have resulted in a total investment of $26,100 across 261 purchases, growing to a current value of $68,778 — a return of 164%.

Using Enhanced DCA — which automatically buys more when multiple signals agree conditions are right, and holds back when they don't — See the full methodology. The same $100/week base deployed $24,517 across 80 targeted purchases, growing to $83,740. That's a return of 242% — +78% more than standard DCA, with a lower average entry price of $234 vs $304.

Over the same 5-year period, standard weekly DCA into the S&P 500 (SPY) returned approximately 53%, so CAT's 242% Enhanced DCA return was above the index over the same period.

1-year weekly DCA results
Standard: $5,200 → $5,732 · 10%
Enhanced: $955 → $944 · -1%
3-year weekly DCA results
Standard: $15,700 → $30,384 · 94%
Enhanced: $9,631 → $22,923 · 138%
5-year weekly DCA results
Standard: $26,100 → $68,778 · 164%
Enhanced: $24,517 → $83,740 · 242%

Buying the dips for Caterpillar Inc.

i
Weekly buy signals for CAT. Larger markers are larger purchases, up to 6 times the base amount.
Frequently asked questions
How Enhanced DCA works
Multiple signals, one smarter decision
The buy multiplier is built from several inputs on the signal date: momentum (RSI), distance from the long term average, how far price has fallen from its yearly high, trend direction, and market fear (VIX). Each one scales the buy, so a week with a steep drawdown and elevated fear can produce a much larger buy.
Only what was known at the time
Every historical signal is computed from the prices available on its own date and nothing later, so the backtest cannot benefit from hindsight. Buys fill at the next day's open.
Same budget, working harder
Standard DCA buys the same amount every period. Enhanced DCA buys more when the model sees a dip and skips periods when it does not, so capital is concentrated at lower prices. The result can be a lower or higher total spend than standard DCA, and both are shown above.
Risk Disclosure: Past backtest performance does not guarantee future results. Dollar cost averaging into Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) involves investment risk, including potential loss of principal. CAT is a Industrials stock whose price can fall as well as rise. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.
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Prices as of 9 October 2026 close · Backtest rebuilt 11 October 2026