Question 1

How much would I have if I DCA'd $100/week into CYD for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100 per week into CYD for 5 years (261 purchases) would have resulted in a total investment of $26,100 and a current value of $63,858, a return of 145%. Using Enhanced DCA, which concentrates buys during dips, the same $100/week base deployed $44,712 and grew to $130,904 — a 193% return.

Question 2

What is the best DCA strategy for CYD?

Accepted Answer

Backtesting shows Enhanced DCA — which increases buy amounts during market dips and reduces or skips buys when CYD is overextended — outperformed standard weekly DCA by 48% over 5 years. The enhanced strategy achieved a 193% return vs 145% for standard DCA.

Question 3

What would $100/week into CYD be worth after 3 years?

Accepted Answer

Investing $100 per week into CYD for 3 years (157 purchases, $15,700 total) would have grown to $31,096 — a 98% return. Enhanced DCA over the same period returned 153%.

Question 4

Is DCA into CYD worth it?

Accepted Answer

Based on a 5-year backtest, DCA into CYD returned 145% with standard weekly purchases. An intelligent DCA strategy that buys more during dips returned 193% over the same period — a 48% gain in return, while deploying more capital.

Question 5

How many shares of CYD would I have after DCA for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100/week into CYD for 5 years would result in approximately 2141 shares with a standard DCA approach (avg entry $12). Enhanced DCA targeting dips results in 4390 shares at an average entry of $10.

Question 6

How does CYD DCA compare to the S&P 500?

Accepted Answer

Enhanced DCA into CYD returned 193% over the past 5 years. The S&P 500 (SPY) returned approximately 53% over the same period. CYD's performance reflects its volatility as a consumer discretionary asset. Enhanced DCA outperformed standard DCA by 48%, demonstrating the value of intelligent entry timing during market dips.

Question 7

What is the risk of dollar cost averaging into CYD?

Accepted Answer

Past backtest performance does not guarantee future results. CYD is a consumer discretionary asset whose price can fall as well as rise. While DCA reduces timing risk by spreading purchases over time, losses are still possible if the price declines significantly. Always invest within your risk tolerance and consider your overall portfolio diversification.

Question 8

What is the China Yuchai International Limited dollar cost averaging strategy?

Accepted Answer

Standard DCA invests a fixed amount ($100/week or $433/month) into CYD at regular intervals. Enhanced DCA improves on this by using RSI (Relative Strength Index) signals to increase buy amounts during market dips (oversold conditions) and reduce or skip purchases when the stock is overextended. Over the 5-year backtest, this timing approach has delivered 48% higher returns than standard DCA while deploying more total capital into CYD.

Period	Standard DCA	Enhanced DCA	Alpha
1-Year	-28%	-19%	+9%
3-Year	98%	153%	+54%
5-Year	145%	193%	+48%

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Dollar cost averaging into CYD — backtest results

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