Question 1

How much would I have if I DCA'd $100/week into HOG for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100 per week into HOG for 5 years (261 purchases) would have resulted in a total investment of $26,100 and a current value of $22,758, a return of -13%. Using Enhanced DCA, which concentrates buys during dips, the same $100/week base deployed $56,309 and grew to $53,969 — a -4% return.

Question 2

What is the best DCA strategy for HOG?

Accepted Answer

Backtesting shows Enhanced DCA — which increases buy amounts during market dips and reduces or skips buys when HOG is overextended — outperformed standard weekly DCA by 9% over 5 years. The enhanced strategy achieved a -4% return vs -13% for standard DCA.

Question 3

What would $100/week into HOG be worth after 3 years?

Accepted Answer

Investing $100 per week into HOG for 3 years (157 purchases, $15,700 total) would have grown to $15,331 — a -2% return. Enhanced DCA over the same period returned 7%.

Question 4

Is DCA into HOG worth it?

Accepted Answer

Based on a 5-year backtest, DCA into HOG returned -13% with standard weekly purchases. An intelligent DCA strategy that buys more during dips returned -4% over the same period — a 9% gain in return, while deploying more capital.

Question 5

How many shares of HOG would I have after DCA for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100/week into HOG for 5 years would result in approximately 846 shares with a standard DCA approach (avg entry $31). Enhanced DCA targeting dips results in 2006 shares at an average entry of $28.

Question 6

How does HOG DCA compare to the S&P 500?

Accepted Answer

Enhanced DCA into HOG returned -4% over the past 5 years. The S&P 500 (SPY) returned approximately 53% over the same period. HOG's performance reflects its volatility as a consumer discretionary asset. Enhanced DCA outperformed standard DCA by 9%, demonstrating the value of intelligent entry timing during market dips.

Question 7

What is the risk of dollar cost averaging into HOG?

Accepted Answer

Past backtest performance does not guarantee future results. HOG is a consumer discretionary asset whose price can fall as well as rise. While DCA reduces timing risk by spreading purchases over time, losses are still possible if the price declines significantly. Always invest within your risk tolerance and consider your overall portfolio diversification.

Question 8

What is the Harley-Davidson, Inc. dollar cost averaging strategy?

Accepted Answer

Standard DCA invests a fixed amount ($100/week or $433/month) into HOG at regular intervals. Enhanced DCA improves on this by using RSI (Relative Strength Index) signals to increase buy amounts during market dips (oversold conditions) and reduce or skip purchases when the stock is overextended. Over the 5-year backtest, this timing approach has delivered 9% higher returns than standard DCA while deploying more total capital into HOG.

Period	Standard DCA	Enhanced DCA	Alpha
1-Year	16%	26%	+10%
3-Year	-2%	7%	+10%
5-Year	-13%	-4%	+9%

HOG DCA Backtest — Dollar Cost Averaging Results

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Dollar cost averaging into HOG — backtest results

Buying the dips for Harley-Davidson, Inc.