Question 1

How much would I have if I DCA'd $100/week into PKG for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100 per week into PKG for 5 years (261 purchases) would have resulted in a total investment of $26,100 and a current value of $35,413, a return of 36%. Using Enhanced DCA, which concentrates buys during dips, the same $100/week base deployed $26,451 and grew to $38,826 — a 47% return.

Question 2

What is the best DCA strategy for PKG?

Accepted Answer

Backtesting shows Enhanced DCA — which increases buy amounts during market dips and reduces or skips buys when PKG is overextended — outperformed standard weekly DCA by 11% over 5 years. The enhanced strategy achieved a 47% return vs 36% for standard DCA.

Question 3

What would $100/week into PKG be worth after 3 years?

Accepted Answer

Investing $100 per week into PKG for 3 years (157 purchases, $15,700 total) would have grown to $18,053 — a 15% return. Enhanced DCA over the same period returned 17%.

Question 4

Is DCA into PKG worth it?

Accepted Answer

Based on a 5-year backtest, DCA into PKG returned 36% with standard weekly purchases. An intelligent DCA strategy that buys more during dips returned 47% over the same period — a 11% gain in return, while deploying more capital.

Question 5

How many shares of PKG would I have after DCA for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100/week into PKG for 5 years would result in approximately 154 shares with a standard DCA approach (avg entry $170). Enhanced DCA targeting dips results in 168 shares at an average entry of $157.

Question 6

How does PKG DCA compare to the S&P 500?

Accepted Answer

Enhanced DCA into PKG returned 47% over the past 5 years. The S&P 500 (SPY) returned approximately 53% over the same period. PKG's performance reflects its volatility as a consumer discretionary asset. Enhanced DCA outperformed standard DCA by 11%, demonstrating the value of intelligent entry timing during market dips.

Question 7

What is the risk of dollar cost averaging into PKG?

Accepted Answer

Past backtest performance does not guarantee future results. PKG is a consumer discretionary asset whose price can fall as well as rise. While DCA reduces timing risk by spreading purchases over time, losses are still possible if the price declines significantly. Always invest within your risk tolerance and consider your overall portfolio diversification.

Question 8

What is the Packaging Corporation of America dollar cost averaging strategy?

Accepted Answer

Standard DCA invests a fixed amount ($100/week or $433/month) into PKG at regular intervals. Enhanced DCA improves on this by using RSI (Relative Strength Index) signals to increase buy amounts during market dips (oversold conditions) and reduce or skip purchases when the stock is overextended. Over the 5-year backtest, this timing approach has delivered 11% higher returns than standard DCA while deploying more total capital into PKG.

Period	Standard DCA	Enhanced DCA	Alpha
1-Year	4%	8%	+4%
3-Year	15%	17%	+2%
5-Year	36%	47%	+11%

PKG DCA Backtest — Dollar Cost Averaging Results

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Dollar cost averaging into PKG — backtest results

Buying the dips for Packaging Corporation of America