Question 1

How much would I have if I DCA'd $100/week into TLYS for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100 per week into TLYS for 5 years (261 purchases) would have resulted in a total investment of $26,100 and a current value of $29,612, a return of 13%. Using Enhanced DCA, which concentrates buys during dips, the same $100/week base deployed $67,162 and grew to $86,625 — a 29% return.

Question 2

What is the best DCA strategy for TLYS?

Accepted Answer

Backtesting shows Enhanced DCA — which increases buy amounts during market dips and reduces or skips buys when TLYS is overextended — outperformed standard weekly DCA by 16% over 5 years. The enhanced strategy achieved a 29% return vs 13% for standard DCA.

Question 3

What would $100/week into TLYS be worth after 3 years?

Accepted Answer

Investing $100 per week into TLYS for 3 years (157 purchases, $15,700 total) would have grown to $24,383 — a 55% return. Enhanced DCA over the same period returned 83%.

Question 4

Is DCA into TLYS worth it?

Accepted Answer

Based on a 5-year backtest, DCA into TLYS returned 13% with standard weekly purchases. An intelligent DCA strategy that buys more during dips returned 29% over the same period — a 16% gain in return, while deploying more capital.

Question 5

How many shares of TLYS would I have after DCA for 5 years?

Accepted Answer

Dollar cost averaging $100/week into TLYS for 5 years would result in approximately 6639 shares with a standard DCA approach (avg entry $4). Enhanced DCA targeting dips results in 19423 shares at an average entry of $3.

Question 6

How does TLYS DCA compare to the S&P 500?

Accepted Answer

Enhanced DCA into TLYS returned 29% over the past 5 years. The S&P 500 (SPY) returned approximately 53% over the same period. TLYS's performance reflects its volatility as a consumer discretionary asset. Enhanced DCA outperformed standard DCA by 16%, demonstrating the value of intelligent entry timing during market dips.

Question 7

What is the risk of dollar cost averaging into TLYS?

Accepted Answer

Past backtest performance does not guarantee future results. TLYS is a consumer discretionary asset whose price can fall as well as rise. While DCA reduces timing risk by spreading purchases over time, losses are still possible if the price declines significantly. Always invest within your risk tolerance and consider your overall portfolio diversification.

Question 8

What is the Tilly's, Inc. dollar cost averaging strategy?

Accepted Answer

Standard DCA invests a fixed amount ($100/week or $433/month) into TLYS at regular intervals. Enhanced DCA improves on this by using RSI (Relative Strength Index) signals to increase buy amounts during market dips (oversold conditions) and reduce or skip purchases when the stock is overextended. Over the 5-year backtest, this timing approach has delivered 16% higher returns than standard DCA while deploying more total capital into TLYS.

Period	Standard DCA	Enhanced DCA	Alpha
1-Year	83%	193%	+110%
3-Year	55%	83%	+27%
5-Year	13%	29%	+16%

TLYS DCA Backtest — Dollar Cost Averaging Results

TLYS DCA Results: Key Findings

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Dollar cost averaging into TLYS — backtest results

Buying the dips for Tilly's, Inc.